The Memphis Grizzlies (41-26) visit the Miami Heat (37-33) Wednesday with tip from Miami-Dade Arena set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Memphis beat Dallas 104-88 on Monday to cover as a 4.5-point road favorite. It has won 3 games in a row and 6 of its last 10. In that span, the Grizzlies are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) and are 32-34-1 ATS.
Miami beat Utah 119-115 on Monday, but failed to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite. It is 5-5 straight up and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games. This season, the Heat are 25-43-2 ATS.
Memphis beat Miami 101-93 on Dec. 5 to cover as a 5.5-point home underdog while the 218.5 Under cashed.
Grizzlies at Heat odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Heat -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +3.5 (-105) | Heat -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Grizzlies at Heat key injuries
- C Steven Adams (knee) out
- PG Ja Morant (not with team) out
- PG Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
- PF Cody Zeller (nose) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Grizzlies at Heat picks and predictions
Heat 107, Grizzlies 105
Playing against an undermanned Grizzlies team, the Heat are rightfully favorites, but -170 odds is not a profitable moneyline play.
LEAN GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-105).
Memphis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games and 3-2 ATS in its last 5 road games.
The Heat have struggled this season with a 25-43-2 ATS record on the season and an 11-24-1 ATS record at home. They are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 day’s rest, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
BET UNDER 219.5 (-105).
The Heat rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent points per game and the Grizzlies rank 5th in the same category. With a slow pace created by both teams, points will be at a premium.
The Under is 5-1 in the Grizzlies’ last 6 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. It is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games following an outright victory of 10 or more points and 5-0-1 in their last 6 games following an outright victory. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Memphis’ last 5 games following a ATS win.
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